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Toronto FC vs DC United — Major League Soccer

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Toronto FC
Toronto FC
11º · 1.16 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 4h
vs
–
–
DC United
DC United
13º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 0h
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Toronto FC and DC United meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Toronto FC have recorded 11 wins from 37 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. DC United have won 19% of their 36 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Toronto FC and 1.53 for DC United. The models give Toronto FC a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an DC United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Toronto FC
—
DC United
11º
Position
13º
1.16
PPG
1.10
26%
Win %
23%
1.55
Goals / game
1.27
1.90
Conceded / game
1.77
76%
BTTS %
58%
14%
Clean sheet %
22%
68%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
12.3
Avg shots
13.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.2
Avg fouls
13.2
44.8%
Avg possession
39.0%

Home vs Away

Toronto FC
Home (16)
—
DC United
Away (15)
1.50
PPG
0.87
31%
Win %
13%
2.13
Goals / game
1.20
2.00
Conceded / game
1.80
91%
BTTS %
59%
5%
Clean sheet %
24%
73%
Over 2.5 %
53%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
12.3
Avg shots
13.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
44.8%
Avg possession
39.0%

Goals Scored

Toronto FCHomeAwayDC UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored84%95%67%64%63%65%
Over 1.5 Scored51%68%27%33%37%29%
Over 2.5 Scored19%32%0%11%11%12%
Failed To Score16%5%33%36%37%35%

Goals Conceded

Toronto FCHomeAwayDC UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%95%73%78%79%76%
Over 1.5 Conceded51%45%60%50%53%47%
Over 2.5 Conceded35%32%40%28%21%35%
Clean Sheets14%5%27%22%21%24%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Toronto FCDC United
Over 0.595%83%
Over 1.589%72%
Over 2.568%58%
Over 3.538%36%
Over 4.527%17%
BTTS76%58%
BTTS & Win22%14%
BTTS & Draw30%25%
BTTS & Over 2.562%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Toronto FCDC United
Win 1st Half20%26%
Draw 1st Half37%37%
Loss 1st Half43%37%
Scored 1st Half40%37%
Conceded 1st Half57%43%
Win 2nd Half34%20%
Draw 2nd Half31%43%
Loss 2nd Half34%37%
Scored 2nd Half63%43%
Conceded 2nd Half66%63%
Over 0.5 HT74%66%
Over 1.5 HT34%37%

Recent Venue Form

Toronto FC (H)
DOrlando City SC3–3
WCF Montreal2–1
WNashville SC2–1
DChicago Fire4–4
DNew York City FC1–1
DCharlotte3–3
DC United (A)
LFC Cincinnati1–2
LOrlando City SC1–4
LInter Miami0–4
DVancouver Whitecaps3–3
LCharlotte1–3
DCF Montreal1–1

Number of Corners

10.6
Corners / Match
31 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.7
Corners / Match
29 games
Match CornersToronto FCDC UnitedLeague Avg
Over 687%83%83%
Over 781%76%73%
Over 874%72%64%
Over 961%52%53%
Over 1052%48%43%
Over 1135%45%34%
Over 1223%38%23%
Over 1323%28%18%

Team Corners

Team CornersToronto FCDC United
Corners Earned / Match4.85.2
Corners Against / Match5.85.5
Over 2.5 Corners For81%90%
Over 3.5 Corners For65%69%
Over 4.5 Corners For52%52%
Over 2.5 Corners Against94%90%
Over 3.5 Corners Against77%69%
Over 4.5 Corners Against61%52%

Head to Head · 34 matches

11
Toronto FC
32%
11
Draws
32%
12
DC United
35%
82%
Over 1.5
28/34
65%
Over 2.5
22/34
41%
Over 3.5
14/34
71%
BTTS
24/34
25/07/26
DC United
2–1
Toronto FC
10/05/25
Toronto FC
2–0
DC United
23/02/25
DC United
2–2
Toronto FC
31/08/24
Toronto FC
1–3
DC United
01/06/24
DC United
2–2
Toronto FC
27/05/23
Toronto FC
2–1
DC United
26/02/23
DC United
3–2
Toronto FC
21/05/22
DC United
2–2
Toronto FC
19/03/22
Toronto FC
2–1
DC United
07/11/21
Toronto FC
1–3
DC United
03/07/21
DC United
7–1
Toronto FC
19/09/20
DC United
2–2
Toronto FC
13/07/20
Toronto FC
2–2
DC United
19/10/19
Toronto FC
5–1
DC United
30/06/19
DC United
1–1
Toronto FC
16/05/19
Toronto FC
0–0
DC United
17/10/18
DC United
1–0
Toronto FC
14/06/18
Toronto FC
4–4
DC United
05/08/17
DC United
1–1
Toronto FC
18/06/17
Toronto FC
2–0
DC United
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC312173+4370
1Vancouver Whitecaps301677+3255
2Inter Miami3015105+2255
2St. Louis City301497+1551
3New England Revolution3016410+852
3FC Dallas301497+851
4Chicago Fire3014610+848
4San Jose Earthquakes301398+1048
5Charlotte301389+847
5Houston Dynamo301389+247
6Los Angeles FC3112109+1546
6Philadelphia Union3013710+1346
7Seattle Sounders3011910+242
7Orlando City SC3012513-1241
8Los Angeles Galaxy31101011-940
8FC Cincinnati3010911-939
9Colorado Rapids3011613039
9Columbus Crew3111515+138
10Real Salt Lake3010614-336
10New York Red Bulls3010614-1736
11Toronto FC3181211-1136
11Portland Timbers309714-534
12San Diego3081012-334
12New York City FC3081012+234
13Minnesota United FC3081012-834
13DC United3071211-1533
14Austin3071013-1831
14Atlanta United FC308616-1430
15CF Montreal316718-2625
15Sporting Kansas City306420-3922

Team Insights

Toronto FC
  • ●Toronto FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Toronto FC have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
  • ●Toronto FC have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
  • ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Toronto FC have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Toronto FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Toronto FC have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●71% of Toronto FC's goals have been scored at home.
DC United
  • ●DC United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●DC United have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●DC United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●DC United have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
  • ●DC United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●DC United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
LAColumbus Crew9º2–4
DHOrlando City SC7º3–3
WHCF Montreal15º2–1
LANashville SC1º0–2
LASt. Louis City2º1–3
LAOrlando City SC7º0–3
WHNashville SC1º2–1
DHChicago Fire4º4–4
DHNew York City FC12º1–1

Season Schedule

Toronto FC
LAColumbus Crew2–4
WANew York Red Bulls2–0
DHOrlando City SC3–3
WHCF Montreal2–1
LANashville SC0–2
LASt. Louis City1–3
–HDC United28/10
–AAtlanta United FC01/11
–APhiladelphia Union07/11
DC United
LHFC Cincinnati0–2
LAFC Cincinnati1–2
LAOrlando City SC1–4
WHNew York Red Bulls2–1
LAInter Miami0–4
DAVancouver Whitecaps3–3
–AToronto FC28/10
–AColumbus Crew31/10
–HNew York City FC07/11

Top Scorers

Toronto FC
D. Salloi6 ⚽
Josh Sargent4 ⚽
J. Sargent4 ⚽
Dániel Sallói3 ⚽
D. Etienne3 ⚽
E. Aristizabal3 ⚽
DC United
T. Baribo14 ⚽
L. Munteanu6 ⚽
Kimito Nono3 ⚽
L. Bartlett3 ⚽
K. Rowles2 ⚽
J. Hopkins2 ⚽

Cards Given

Toronto FC
Raheem Edwards4 🟨
W. Zimmerman4 🟨
Jonathan Osorio4 🟨
Benjamin Kuscevic4 🟨
Richie Laryea4 🟨
Alonso Coello3 🟨
DC United
Lucas Bartlett6 🟨
Silvan Hefti6 🟨
Tai Baribo5 🟨
Jackson Hopkins5 🟨
Jared Stroud4 🟨
João Peglow4 🟨