New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer
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New York City FC and Atlanta United FC meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 28 October 2026. New York City FC have recorded 12 wins from 42 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Atlanta United FC have won 32% of their 38 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for New York City FC and 1.29 for Atlanta United FC. The models give New York City FC a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atlanta United FC win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
New York City FC—
Atlanta United FC12º
Position
14º
1.13
PPG
1.00
27%
Win %
27%
1.43
Goals / game
1.23
1.37
Conceded / game
1.70
67%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
18%
52%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.8
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
13.4
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.5
Avg fouls
11.5
53.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
New York City FC
Home (15)
—
Atlanta United FC
Away (15)
1.13
PPG
1.07
27%
Win %
27%
1.80
Goals / game
1.07
1.47
Conceded / game
1.47
63%
BTTS %
53%
26%
Clean sheet %
21%
58%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.8
Avg corners
5.1
11.4
Avg shots
13.4
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
53.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 84% | 78% | 74% | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 53% | 30% | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 26% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| New York | Home | Away | Atlanta United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 74% | 91% | 82% | 84% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 42% | 48% | 53% | 63% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 16% | 0% | 24% | 32% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 26% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 18% |
| BTTS | 67% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| New York | Atlanta United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
New York (H)D
Los Angeles FC1–1
Los Angeles FC1–1L
New York Red Bulls0–1
New York Red Bulls0–1L
New England Revolution1–2
New England Revolution1–2D
Nashville SC0–0
Nashville SC0–0L
Philadelphia Union2–3
Philadelphia Union2–3L
Necaxa1–2
Necaxa1–2Atlanta United (A)W
CF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0W
Portland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0D
DC United0–0
DC United0–0D
Inter Miami2–2
Inter Miami2–2W
Minnesota United FC2–1
Minnesota United FC2–1LPhiladelphia Union2–3
Philadelphia Union2–3Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
10.2
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | New York | Atlanta United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 72% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 66% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 59% | 53% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 38% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 21% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 17% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | New York | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 39% | 59% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
6
New York
30%
9
Draws
45%
5
Atlanta United
25%
90%
Over 1.5
18/20
65%
Over 2.5
13/20
55%
Over 3.5
11/20
80%
BTTS
16/20
26/09/26New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2New York City FC12/06/25Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
4–0Atlanta United FC29/03/25New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
4–3New York City FC17/07/24New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2New York City FC06/04/24Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
1–1Atlanta United FC21/06/23New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2New York City FC08/04/23Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
1–1Atlanta United FC09/10/22New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
1–2New York City FC03/07/22Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
2–2Atlanta United FC21/11/21Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
2–0Atlanta United FC20/10/21New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
1–1New York City FC23/06/21Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
1–0Atlanta United FC25/09/19Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
4–1Atlanta United FC11/08/19New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
2–1New York City FC11/11/18New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
3–1New York City FC05/11/18Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
0–1Atlanta United FC09/06/18Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
1–1Atlanta United FC15/04/18New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
2–2New York City FC28/05/17New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
3–1New York City FC07/05/17Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
3–1Atlanta United FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | +22 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
New York- ●New York City FC have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●New York City FC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●New York City FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●New York City FC have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●New York City FC have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Atlanta United- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Atlanta United FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
New YorkDAOrlando City SC2–2
Orlando City SC2–2DHLos Angeles FC1–1
Los Angeles FC1–1LAInter Miami0–2
Inter Miami0–2LAChicago Fire1–2
Chicago Fire1–2DAAtlanta United FC2–2
Atlanta United FC2–2LHNew York Red Bulls0–1
New York Red Bulls0–1–HAtlanta United FC28/10
Atlanta United FC28/10–HCF Montreal31/10
CF Montreal31/10–ADC United07/11
DC United07/11Atlanta UnitedLHChicago Fire2–3
Chicago Fire2–3LHInter Miami1–3
Inter Miami1–3WACF Montreal3–0
CF Montreal3–0LHFC Cincinnati1–3
FC Cincinnati1–3DHNew York City FC2–2
New York City FC2–2WAPortland Timbers1–0
Portland Timbers1–0–ANew York City FC28/10
New York City FC28/10–HToronto FC01/11
Toronto FC01/11–ANew York Red Bulls07/11
New York Red Bulls07/11Top Scorers
New YorkN. Mercau15 ⚽
A. Ojeda7 ⚽
Talles Magno5 ⚽
H. Wolf5 ⚽
K. Parks3 ⚽
Luighi2 ⚽
Atlanta UnitedA. Miranchuk7 ⚽
T. Muyumba4 ⚽
F. Picault4 ⚽
M. Almiron3 ⚽
Breel Embolo3 ⚽
E. Latte Lath3 ⚽
Cards Given
New YorkN. Mercau6 🟨
Tayvon Gray6 🟨
Nicolás Fernández4 🟨
Hannes Wolf3 🟨
Aiden O'Neill3 🟨
Keaton Parks3 🟨
Atlanta UnitedTomás Jacob9 🟨
Lucas Hoyos4 🟨
C. Sanchez4 🟨
Cooper Sanchez4 🟨
Enea Mihaj4 🟨
Tristan Muyumba4 🟨