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Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer

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United States · Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2º · 1.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 2h
vs
–
–
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
8º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 0h
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Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati meet in the Major League Soccer 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Inter Miami have recorded 19 wins from 41 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. FC Cincinnati have won 42% of their 43 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.69 for Inter Miami and 1.68 for FC Cincinnati. The models give Inter Miami a 58% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an FC Cincinnati win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 76%.

Season Statistics

Inter Miami
—
FC Cincinnati
2º
Position
8º
1.83
PPG
1.30
50%
Win %
33%
2.43
Goals / game
2.07
1.70
Conceded / game
2.37
73%
BTTS %
70%
20%
Clean sheet %
19%
73%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.6
Avg shots
14.8
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.9
Avg fouls
11.1
56.6%
Avg possession
51.1%

Home vs Away

Inter Miami
Home (15)
—
FC Cincinnati
Away (15)
1.67
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
13%
2.73
Goals / game
1.60
1.73
Conceded / game
2.73
80%
BTTS %
76%
20%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.6
Avg shots
14.8
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.2
56.6%
Avg possession
51.1%

Goals Scored

Inter MiamiHomeAwayFC CincinnatiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%100%76%88%91%86%
Over 1.5 Scored68%80%57%63%77%48%
Over 2.5 Scored29%30%29%37%50%24%
Failed To Score12%0%24%12%9%14%

Goals Conceded

Inter MiamiHomeAwayFC CincinnatiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%80%81%81%73%90%
Over 1.5 Conceded61%65%57%53%45%62%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%15%19%35%27%43%
Clean Sheets20%20%19%19%27%10%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Inter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.593%93%
Over 2.573%70%
Over 3.554%58%
Over 4.529%40%
BTTS73%70%
BTTS & Win32%23%
BTTS & Draw27%26%
BTTS & Over 2.566%58%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%12%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Inter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Win 1st Half44%35%
Draw 1st Half41%33%
Loss 1st Half15%33%
Scored 1st Half71%70%
Conceded 1st Half59%58%
Win 2nd Half37%44%
Draw 2nd Half22%21%
Loss 2nd Half41%35%
Scored 2nd Half56%67%
Conceded 2nd Half66%67%
Over 0.5 HT85%86%
Over 1.5 HT61%56%

Recent Venue Form

Inter Miami (H)
WNew York City FC2–0
WDC United4–0
DSan Diego2–2
WCruz Azul2–0
DNashville SC2–2
DAtlanta United FC2–2
FC Cincinnati (A)
WDC United2–0
WAtlanta United FC3–1
LCF Montreal1–3
DHouston Dynamo2–2
LPhiladelphia Union0–5
LNashville SC0–4

Number of Corners

8.9
Corners / Match
35 games
League Avg
10.0
450 games
9.9
Corners / Match
36 games
Match CornersInter MiamiFC CincinnatiLeague Avg
Over 677%86%83%
Over 760%72%73%
Over 846%67%64%
Over 940%53%53%
Over 1029%36%43%
Over 1126%22%34%
Over 1214%22%23%
Over 1311%19%18%

Team Corners

Team CornersInter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Corners Earned / Match4.95.0
Corners Against / Match4.04.8
Over 2.5 Corners For77%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For69%69%
Over 4.5 Corners For49%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against71%72%
Over 3.5 Corners Against51%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against31%56%

Head to Head · 15 matches

7
Inter Miami
47%
3
Draws
20%
5
FC Cincinnati
33%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
67%
Over 2.5
10/15
53%
Over 3.5
8/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
13/05/26
FC Cincinnati
3–5
Inter Miami
23/11/25
FC Cincinnati
0–4
Inter Miami
26/07/25
Inter Miami
0–0
FC Cincinnati
16/07/25
FC Cincinnati
3–0
Inter Miami
24/08/24
Inter Miami
2–0
FC Cincinnati
06/07/24
FC Cincinnati
6–1
Inter Miami
07/10/23
Inter Miami
0–1
FC Cincinnati
23/08/23
FC Cincinnati
3–3
Inter Miami
01/04/23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Inter Miami
31/07/22
Inter Miami
4–4
FC Cincinnati
19/03/22
FC Cincinnati
3–1
Inter Miami
24/10/21
Inter Miami
5–1
FC Cincinnati
05/09/21
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Inter Miami
16/05/21
FC Cincinnati
2–3
Inter Miami
08/11/20
Inter Miami
2–1
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC312173+4370
1Vancouver Whitecaps301677+3255
2Inter Miami3015105+2255
2St. Louis City301497+1551
3New England Revolution3016410+852
3FC Dallas301497+851
4Chicago Fire3014610+848
4San Jose Earthquakes301398+1048
5Charlotte301389+847
5Houston Dynamo301389+247
6Los Angeles FC3112109+1546
6Philadelphia Union3013710+1346
7Seattle Sounders3011910+242
7Orlando City SC3012513-1241
8Los Angeles Galaxy31101011-940
8FC Cincinnati3010911-939
9Colorado Rapids3011613039
9Columbus Crew3111515+138
10Real Salt Lake3010614-336
10New York Red Bulls3010614-1736
11Toronto FC3181211-1136
11Portland Timbers309714-534
12San Diego3081012-334
12New York City FC3081012+234
13Minnesota United FC3081012-834
13DC United3071211-1533
14Austin3071013-1831
14Atlanta United FC308616-1430
15CF Montreal316718-2625
15Sporting Kansas City306420-3922

Team Insights

Inter Miami
  • ●Inter Miami have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Inter Miami failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Inter Miami have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
FC Cincinnati
  • ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●FC Cincinnati have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Inter MiamiInter Miami
LANew York Red Bulls10º0–2
WAAtlanta United FC14º3–1
WHNew York City FC12º2–0
WHDC United13º4–0
LAColumbus Crew9º1–2
DHSan Diego12º2–2
WHCruz Azul2–0
DHNashville SC1º2–2
DAChicago Fire4º1–1
DHAtlanta United FC14º2–2
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
WADC United13º2–0
WHDC United13º2–1
LHColumbus Crew9º0–2
LHNew England Revolution3º2–3
WAAtlanta United FC14º3–1
LACF Montreal15º1–3
DAHouston Dynamo5º2–2
DHCharlotte5º3–3
LAPhiladelphia Union6º0–5
LANashville SC1º0–4

Season Schedule

Inter Miami
LANew York Red Bulls0–2
WAAtlanta United FC3–1
WHNew York City FC2–0
WHDC United4–0
LAColumbus Crew1–2
DHSan Diego2–2
–HFC Cincinnati28/10
–ANew England Revolution02/11
–HCharlotte07/11
FC Cincinnati
WADC United2–0
WHDC United2–1
LHColumbus Crew0–2
LHNew England Revolution2–3
WAAtlanta United FC3–1
LACF Montreal1–3
–AInter Miami28/10
–HPhiladelphia Union31/10
–HNashville SC07/11

Top Scorers

Inter Miami
L. Messi24 ⚽
L. Suarez13 ⚽
G. Berterame8 ⚽
Lionel Messi6 ⚽
R. de Paul5 ⚽
T. Segovia4 ⚽
FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey19 ⚽
Evander16 ⚽
T. Barlow9 ⚽
K. Mboma9 ⚽
P. Bucha7 ⚽
A. Jabbari5 ⚽

Cards Given

Inter Miami
Telasco Segovia8 🟨
I. Fray5 🟨
Micael5 🟨
Germán Berterame5 🟨
Casemiro4 🟨
Dayne St. Clair4 🟨
FC Cincinnati
Obinna Nwobodo7 🟨
Bryan Ramirez6 🟨
Evander6 🟨
Tom Barlow6 🟨
Kévin Denkey5 🟨
Teenage Hadebe5 🟨