International · World Cup - Qualification Africa · Group Stage - 5

South Africa

1º · 1.80 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 11d 20h

0 – 3

HT 0–0

Finished

Lesotho

4º · 1.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 82d 23h

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South Africa and Lesotho meet in the World Cup - Qualification Africa 2023 season on 21 March 2025. South Africa have recorded 12 wins from 29 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Lesotho have won 21% of their 24 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for South Africa and 1.10 for Lesotho. The models give South Africa a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lesotho win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

South Africa

—

Lesotho

1º

Position

4º

1.80

PPG

1.20

50%

Win %

30%

1.50

Goals / game

0.90

Conceded / game

1.20

48%

BTTS %

33%

45%

Clean sheet %

29%

41%

Over 2.5 %

25%

5.2

Avg corners

0.0

11.2

Avg shots

8.0

4.3

Avg shots on target

2.0

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.5

12.2

Avg fouls

15.0

58.2%

Avg possession

33.0%

Home vs Away

South Africa

Home (5)

—

Lesotho

Away (5)

2.00

PPG

1.60

60%

Win %

40%

1.80

Goals / game

1.40

1.20

Conceded / game

1.20

56%

BTTS %

43%

44%

Clean sheet %

29%

56%

Over 2.5 %

21%

5.2

Avg corners

0.0

11.2

Avg shots

8.0

4.3

Avg shots on target

2.0

1.4

Avg yellow cards

1.5

58.2%

Avg possession

33.0%

Goals Scored

	South Africa	Home	Away	Lesotho	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	69%	75%	62%	50%	30%	64%
Over 1.5 Scored	41%	50%	31%	17%	10%	21%
Over 2.5 Scored	14%	19%	8%	4%	10%	0%
Failed To Score	31%	25%	38%	50%	70%	36%

Goals Conceded

	South Africa	Home	Away	Lesotho	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	55%	56%	54%	71%	70%	71%
Over 1.5 Conceded	17%	13%	23%	33%	30%	36%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	17%	10%	21%
Clean Sheets	45%	44%	46%	29%	30%	29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	South Africa	Lesotho
Over 0.5	76%	88%
Over 1.5	72%	63%
Over 2.5	41%	25%
Over 3.5	10%	17%
Over 4.5	0%	4%
BTTS	48%	33%
BTTS & Win	21%	4%
BTTS & Draw	21%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	31%	17%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	South Africa	Lesotho
Win 1st Half	38%	17%
Draw 1st Half	55%	57%
Loss 1st Half	7%	26%
Scored 1st Half	48%	30%
Conceded 1st Half	17%	43%
Win 2nd Half	34%	13%
Draw 2nd Half	41%	48%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	39%
Scored 2nd Half	41%	26%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	48%
Over 0.5 HT	55%	57%
Over 1.5 HT	28%	30%

Recent Venue Form

South Africa (H)

Canada0–1

South Korea1–0

Nicaragua0–0

Panama1–2

Panama1–1

Cameroon1–2

Lesotho (A)

Kenya0–4

Seychelles0–0

Benin0–4

Namibia0–3

Angola0–4

Malawi1–0

Number of Corners

8.5

Corners / Match

19 games

League Avg

9.1

15 games

5.0

Corners / Match

1 games

Match Corners	South Africa	Lesotho	League Avg
Over 6	63%	0%	73%
Over 7	58%	0%	53%
Over 8	42%	0%	40%
Over 9	37%	0%	40%
Over 10	26%	0%	27%
Over 11	16%	0%	20%
Over 12	16%	0%	20%
Over 13	16%	0%	20%

Team Corners

Team Corners	South Africa	Lesotho
Corners Earned / Match	5.2	0.0
Corners Against / Match	3.4	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	79%	0%
Over 3.5 Corners For	63%	0%
Over 4.5 Corners For	53%	0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	53%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	37%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	26%	100%

Head to Head · 5 matches

South Africa

40%

Draws

20%

Lesotho

40%

80%

Over 1.5

4/5

80%

Over 2.5

4/5

40%

Over 3.5

2/5

20%

BTTS

1/5

05/09/25

Lesotho

0–3

South Africa

10/01/24

South Africa

0–0

Lesotho

13/07/21

South Africa

4–0

Lesotho

04/08/19

South Africa

0–3

Lesotho

28/07/19

Lesotho

3–2

South Africa

Events

60'⚽R. Mofokeng(E. Mokwana)

64'⚽J. Adams

66'🔄E. Mokwana(T. Morena)

69'🟨Lyle Foster

70'🔄L. Lebokollane(T. Toloane)

82'🔄J. Adams(B. J. Aubaas)

82'🔄L. Foster(I. Rayners)

82'🔄T. Mokoena(T. Mbatha)

88'🔄K. Makateng(T. Malane)

90'🔄P. Tau(N. Maphangule)

Match Statistics

South AfricaLesotho

8Shots on target1

18Total shots3

67Possession %33

4Corners1

12Fouls6

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

World Cup - Qualification Africa

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	+22	28
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	+25	26
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	+18	26
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	+16	25
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	+17	25
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	+19	24
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	+20	24
1	Cape Verde Islands	10	7	2	1	+8	23
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	+6	18
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	Congo DR	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	+15	21
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	+12	19
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	+5	19
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	+5	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	+7	17
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	+1	15
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	-3	18
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	+11	18
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	+1	17
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	+2	16
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	+2	15
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	+2	15
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	+2	13
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	+9	13
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	-1	10
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	-1	15
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	+3	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	+1	13
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	-3	12
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	+4	12
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	+1	12
4	Guinea-Bissau	10	2	4	4	-2	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	0	9
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	-5	8
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	-4	11
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	-7	11
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	-4	10
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	0	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	-5	9
5	Central African Republic	10	2	2	6	-13	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	-9	7
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	-10	6
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	-20	1
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	-16	5
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	-7	5
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	-13	3
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	-21	3
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	-17	1
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	-19	1
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	-28	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	-51	0