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Premier League 2026/27: Season Preview

Arsenal go into the new campaign as champions for the first time since 2004, but a wave of managerial change — Xabi Alonso at Chelsea, Gary O'Neil at Ipswich Town, Frank Lampard at Coventry City — has reshaped half the division.

Kick-off
22 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
2.75
Over 2.5 (25/26)
54.2%
Season
2026/27
Premier League 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

Arsenal won the title with 85 points to end Manchester City's era of dominance; West Ham United, Burnley and Wolves were relegated.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Arsenal85+44
2Manchester City78+42
3Manchester United71+19
4Aston Villa65+7
5Liverpool60+10
6Bournemouth57+4
7Sunderland54-6
8Brighton53+6
9Brentford53+3
10Chelsea52+6
11Fulham52-4
12Newcastle United49-2
13Everton49-3
14Leeds United47-7
15Crystal Palace45-10
16Nottingham Forest44-3
17Tottenham Hotspur41-9
18West Ham United39-19
19Burnley22-37
20Wolverhampton Wanderers20-41
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
380 matches played (2025/26)
2.75
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 54.2% of games
54.2%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 54 of 100 games
54.5%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
42.6%

Arsenal finished 7 points clear of Manchester City to win their first Premier League title since 2004, with Manchester United returning to the Champions League places in 3rd. At the bottom, West Ham, Burnley and Wolves went down, with Burnley managing only 22 points on their return to the top flight.

Promoted Sunderland (7th) and Leeds United (14th) both avoided relegation — the first time since 2022/23 that both promoted clubs survived — a promising precedent for Coventry City and Ipswich Town heading into 2026/27.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

New faces in the dugout and a reshuffled transfer market point to a wide-open title race.

Eight clubs enter the season with new managers, including Xabi Alonso at Chelsea and Gary O'Neil, who returns to the top flight with Ipswich Town after spells at Bournemouth and Wolves. Tottenham have already spent over £230m on Mateus Fernandes, Sandro Tonali and Jan Paul van Hecke, while Mohamed Salah's departure from Liverpool closes a era on Merseyside.

Arsenal begin the defence of their title under an unchanged Mikel Arteta, with Manchester City and Manchester United both retooling to close the gap. Coventry City, back in the top flight after 25 years under Frank Lampard, complete the promoted trio alongside Ipswich Town.

How to read predictions
1X2home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HTat least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT3 or more total goalsBTTSboth teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 520 September 2026

Round 520 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Manchester CityVSSunderland
Manchester City
55%
Fair 1.81
Draw
26%
Fair 3.82
Sunderland
19%
Fair 5.35
xG 1.50.75
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 520 Sept · 13:00 UTC
BournemouthVSLiverpool
Bournemouth
27%
Fair 3.65
Draw
23%
Fair 4.26
Liverpool
49%
Fair 2.03
xG 1.251.75
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 520 Sept · 13:00 UTC
LeedsVSCrystal Palace
Leeds
60%
Fair 1.67
Draw
20%
Fair 5.07
Crystal Palace
20%
Fair 4.92
xG 2.251.25
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 520 Sept · 15:30 UTC
FulhamVSManchester United
Fulham
40%
Fair 2.52
Draw
21%
Fair 4.83
Manchester United
40%
Fair 2.52
xG 22
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
76%Fair 1.32
BTTS
75%Fair 1.33

Round 610 October 2026

Round 610 Oct · 11:30 UTC
ArsenalVSLeeds
Arsenal
55%
Fair 1.81
Draw
26%
Fair 3.82
Leeds
19%
Fair 5.35
xG 1.50.75
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 610 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Aston VillaVSBrentford
Aston Villa
25%
Fair 3.96
Draw
26%
Fair 3.85
Brentford
49%
Fair 2.05
xG 11.5
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
49%Fair 2.04
Round 610 Oct · 14:00 UTC
ChelseaVSBournemouth
Chelsea
50%
Fair 2.02
Draw
19%
Fair 5.28
Bournemouth
31%
Fair 3.18
xG 2.52
Over 0.5 HT
86%Fair 1.16
Over 2.5 FT
83%Fair 1.2
BTTS
79%Fair 1.27
Round 610 Oct · 14:00 UTC
IpswichVSFulham
Ipswich
32%
Fair 3.16
Draw
37%
Fair 2.72
Fulham
32%
Fair 3.16
xG 0.750.75
Over 0.5 HT
48%Fair 2.08
Over 2.5 FT
19%Fair 5.26
BTTS
28%Fair 3.57
Round 610 Oct · 14:00 UTC
SunderlandVSBrighton
Sunderland
17%
Fair 5.72
Draw
18%
Fair 5.59
Brighton
65%
Fair 1.55
xG 1.252.5
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
72%Fair 1.39
BTTS
65%Fair 1.54
Round 610 Oct · 16:30 UTC
Manchester UnitedVSTottenham
Manchester United
67%
Fair 1.5
Draw
20%
Fair 4.94
Tottenham
13%
Fair 7.65
xG 20.75
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
46%Fair 2.17
Round 611 Oct · 13:00 UTC
Hull CityVSEverton
Hull City
45%
Fair 2.24
Draw
44%
Fair 2.27
Everton
11%
Fair 8.76
xG 0.750.25
Over 0.5 HT
36%Fair 2.78
Over 2.5 FT
8%Fair 12.5
BTTS
12%Fair 8.33
Round 611 Oct · 13:00 UTC
Crystal PalaceVSNottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
19%
Fair 5.22
Draw
17%
Fair 5.88
Nottingham Forest
64%
Fair 1.57
xG 1.52.75
Over 0.5 HT
85%Fair 1.18
Over 2.5 FT
80%Fair 1.25
BTTS
73%Fair 1.37
Round 611 Oct · 15:30 UTC
LiverpoolVSManchester City
Liverpool
16%
Fair 6.39
Draw
23%
Fair 4.33
Manchester City
61%
Fair 1.63
xG 0.751.75
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
44%Fair 2.27
Round 612 Oct · 19:00 UTC
CoventryVSNewcastle
Coventry
15%
Fair 6.45
Draw
19%
Fair 5.28
Newcastle
66%
Fair 1.52
xG 12.25
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
57%Fair 1.75

Round 717 October 2026

Round 717 Oct · 11:30 UTC
EvertonVSChelsea
Everton
61%
Fair 1.65
Draw
21%
Fair 4.72
Chelsea
18%
Fair 5.48
xG 21
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82
Round 717 Oct · 14:00 UTC
BrentfordVSLiverpool
Brentford
49%
Fair 2.04
Draw
24%
Fair 4.13
Liverpool
27%
Fair 3.74
xG 1.671.17
Over 0.5 HT
71%Fair 1.41
Over 2.5 FT
54%Fair 1.85
BTTS
56%Fair 1.79
Round 717 Oct · 14:00 UTC
FulhamVSHull City
Fulham
30%
Fair 3.34
Draw
21%
Fair 4.85
Hull City
49%
Fair 2.02
xG 1.672.17
Over 0.5 HT
82%Fair 1.22
Over 2.5 FT
74%Fair 1.35
BTTS
72%Fair 1.39
Round 717 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Manchester CityVSIpswich
Manchester City
60%
Fair 1.66
Draw
21%
Fair 4.84
Ipswich
19%
Fair 5.26
xG 2.081.08
Over 0.5 HT
75%Fair 1.33
Over 2.5 FT
61%Fair 1.64
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72
Round 717 Oct · 16:30 UTC
NewcastleVSAston Villa
Newcastle
53%
Fair 1.89
Draw
22%
Fair 4.62
Aston Villa
25%
Fair 3.93
xG 21.33
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
65%Fair 1.54
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 718 Oct · 13:00 UTC
LeedsVSManchester United
Leeds
66%
Fair 1.52
Draw
19%
Fair 5.28
Manchester United
15%
Fair 6.45
xG 2.251
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
57%Fair 1.75
Round 718 Oct · 13:00 UTC
BrightonVSCrystal Palace
Brighton
69%
Fair 1.45
Draw
18%
Fair 5.61
Crystal Palace
13%
Fair 7.59
xG 2.330.92
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
54%Fair 1.85
Round 718 Oct · 13:00 UTC
BournemouthVSSunderland
Bournemouth
43%
Fair 2.32
Draw
25%
Fair 3.95
Sunderland
32%
Fair 3.16
xG 1.51.25
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82
Round 718 Oct · 15:30 UTC
Nottingham ForestVSArsenal
Nottingham Forest
21%
Fair 4.86
Draw
39%
Fair 2.59
Arsenal
41%
Fair 2.45
xG 0.50.83
Over 0.5 HT
44%Fair 2.27
Over 2.5 FT
15%Fair 6.67
BTTS
22%Fair 4.55
Round 719 Oct · 19:00 UTC
TottenhamVSCoventry
Tottenham
35%
Fair 2.89
Draw
31%
Fair 3.24
Coventry
35%
Fair 2.89
xG 11
Over 0.5 HT
59%Fair 1.69
Over 2.5 FT
32%Fair 3.13
BTTS
40%Fair 2.5

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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