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Premier League 2026/27: Season Preview

Arsenal go into the new campaign as champions for the first time since 2004, but a wave of managerial change — Xabi Alonso at Chelsea, Gary O'Neil at Ipswich Town, Frank Lampard at Coventry City — has reshaped half the division.

Kick-off
22 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
2.75
Over 2.5 (25/26)
54.2%
Season
2026/27
Premier League 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

Arsenal won the title with 85 points to end Manchester City's era of dominance; West Ham United, Burnley and Wolves were relegated.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Arsenal85+44
2Manchester City78+42
3Manchester United71+19
4Aston Villa65+7
5Liverpool60+10
6Bournemouth57+4
7Sunderland54-6
8Brighton53+6
9Brentford53+3
10Chelsea52+6
11Fulham52-4
12Newcastle United49-2
13Everton49-3
14Leeds United47-7
15Crystal Palace45-10
16Nottingham Forest44-3
17Tottenham Hotspur41-9
18West Ham United39-19
19Burnley22-37
20Wolverhampton Wanderers20-41
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
380 matches played (2025/26)
2.75
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 54.2% of games
54.2%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 54 of 100 games
54.5%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
42.6%

Arsenal finished 7 points clear of Manchester City to win their first Premier League title since 2004, with Manchester United returning to the Champions League places in 3rd. At the bottom, West Ham, Burnley and Wolves went down, with Burnley managing only 22 points on their return to the top flight.

Promoted Sunderland (7th) and Leeds United (14th) both avoided relegation — the first time since 2022/23 that both promoted clubs survived — a promising precedent for Coventry City and Ipswich Town heading into 2026/27.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

New faces in the dugout and a reshuffled transfer market point to a wide-open title race.

Eight clubs enter the season with new managers, including Xabi Alonso at Chelsea and Gary O'Neil, who returns to the top flight with Ipswich Town after spells at Bournemouth and Wolves. Tottenham have already spent over £230m on Mateus Fernandes, Sandro Tonali and Jan Paul van Hecke, while Mohamed Salah's departure from Liverpool closes a era on Merseyside.

Arsenal begin the defence of their title under an unchanged Mikel Arteta, with Manchester City and Manchester United both retooling to close the gap. Coventry City, back in the top flight after 25 years under Frank Lampard, complete the promoted trio alongside Ipswich Town.

How to read predictions
1X2 — home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HT — at least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT — 3 or more total goalsBTTS — both teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 1006 November 2026

Round 1006 Nov · 20:00 UTC
EvertonVSCoventry
Everton
55%
Fair 1.81
Draw
26%
Fair 3.82
Coventry
19%
Fair 5.35
xG 1.5 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 1007 Nov · 12:30 UTC
LeedsVSTottenham
Leeds
48%
Fair 2.08
Draw
30%
Fair 3.39
Tottenham
22%
Fair 4.48
xG 1.25 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
59%Fair 1.69
Over 2.5 FT
32%Fair 3.13
BTTS
38%Fair 2.63
Round 1007 Nov · 15:00 UTC
FulhamVSNewcastle
Fulham
41%
Fair 2.42
Draw
23%
Fair 4.41
Newcastle
36%
Fair 2.77
xG 1.75 – 1.63
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
66%Fair 1.52
BTTS
66%Fair 1.52
Round 1007 Nov · 15:00 UTC
ArsenalVSHull City
Arsenal
61%
Fair 1.63
Draw
23%
Fair 4.33
Hull City
16%
Fair 6.39
xG 1.75 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
44%Fair 2.27
Round 1007 Nov · 17:30 UTC
Nottingham ForestVSManchester City
Nottingham Forest
9%
Fair 11.12
Draw
25%
Fair 3.96
Manchester City
66%
Fair 1.52
xG 0.38 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
56%Fair 1.79
Over 2.5 FT
29%Fair 3.45
BTTS
24%Fair 4.17
Round 1008 Nov · 14:00 UTC
BrightonVSBrentford
Brighton
71%
Fair 1.41
Draw
17%
Fair 5.8
Brentford
12%
Fair 8.28
xG 2.38 – 0.88
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
53%Fair 1.89
Round 1008 Nov · 14:00 UTC
SunderlandVSChelsea
Sunderland
30%
Fair 3.38
Draw
28%
Fair 3.51
Chelsea
42%
Fair 2.38
xG 1 – 1.25
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
45%Fair 2.22
Round 1008 Nov · 14:00 UTC
IpswichVSBournemouth
Ipswich
44%
Fair 2.28
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Bournemouth
33%
Fair 3.01
xG 1.75 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 1008 Nov · 14:00 UTC
Crystal PalaceVSLiverpool
Crystal Palace
19%
Fair 5.17
Draw
20%
Fair 4.9
Liverpool
60%
Fair 1.66
xG 1.13 – 2.13
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 1008 Nov · 16:30 UTC
Manchester UnitedVSAston Villa
Manchester United
40%
Fair 2.48
Draw
25%
Fair 4.02
Aston Villa
35%
Fair 2.88
xG 1.5 – 1.38
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72

Round 1121 November 2026

Round 1121 Nov · 12:30 UTC
Manchester CityVSFulham
Manchester City
49%
Fair 2.05
Draw
26%
Fair 3.85
Fulham
25%
Fair 3.96
xG 1.5 – 1
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
49%Fair 2.04
Round 1121 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Aston VillaVSSunderland
Aston Villa
51%
Fair 1.94
Draw
22%
Fair 4.47
Sunderland
26%
Fair 3.82
xG 1.9 – 1.3
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
62%Fair 1.61
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 1121 Nov · 15:00 UTC
ChelseaVSLeeds
Chelsea
54%
Fair 1.86
Draw
23%
Fair 4.32
Leeds
23%
Fair 4.33
xG 1.8 – 1.1
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
56%Fair 1.79
Round 1121 Nov · 15:00 UTC
BournemouthVSNottingham Forest
Bournemouth
51%
Fair 1.95
Draw
25%
Fair 4
Nottingham Forest
24%
Fair 4.23
xG 1.6 – 1
Over 0.5 HT
68%Fair 1.47
Over 2.5 FT
48%Fair 2.08
BTTS
50%Fair 2
Round 1121 Nov · 15:00 UTC
TottenhamVSIpswich
Tottenham
49%
Fair 2.03
Draw
22%
Fair 4.63
Ipswich
29%
Fair 3.45
xG 2 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
67%Fair 1.49
Round 1121 Nov · 15:00 UTC
CoventryVSCrystal Palace
Coventry
51%
Fair 1.94
Draw
23%
Fair 4.32
Crystal Palace
25%
Fair 3.93
xG 1.8 – 1.2
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72
Round 1121 Nov · 17:30 UTC
NewcastleVSArsenal
Newcastle
28%
Fair 3.63
Draw
30%
Fair 3.39
Arsenal
43%
Fair 2.33
xG 0.9 – 1.2
Over 0.5 HT
60%Fair 1.67
Over 2.5 FT
35%Fair 2.86
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 1122 Nov · 14:00 UTC
Hull CityVSBrighton
Hull City
31%
Fair 3.22
Draw
24%
Fair 4.09
Brighton
44%
Fair 2.25
xG 1.3 – 1.6
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72
Round 1122 Nov · 16:30 UTC
LiverpoolVSManchester United
Liverpool
41%
Fair 2.47
Draw
29%
Fair 3.46
Manchester United
31%
Fair 3.28
xG 1.2 – 1
Over 0.5 HT
62%Fair 1.61
Over 2.5 FT
38%Fair 2.63
BTTS
44%Fair 2.27
Round 1123 Nov · 20:00 UTC
BrentfordVSEverton
Brentford
56%
Fair 1.77
Draw
26%
Fair 3.82
Everton
17%
Fair 5.75
xG 1.5 – 0.7
Over 0.5 HT
62%Fair 1.61
Over 2.5 FT
38%Fair 2.63
BTTS
39%Fair 2.56

Round 1227 November 2026

Round 1227 Nov · 20:00 UTC
Nottingham ForestVSChelsea
Nottingham Forest
28%
Fair 3.54
Draw
31%
Fair 3.28
Chelsea
41%
Fair 2.42
xG 0.88 – 1.13
Over 0.5 HT
59%Fair 1.69
Over 2.5 FT
32%Fair 3.13
BTTS
39%Fair 2.56
Round 1228 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Manchester UnitedVSBrentford
Manchester United
35%
Fair 2.82
Draw
24%
Fair 4.22
Brentford
41%
Fair 2.45
xG 1.5 – 1.63
Over 0.5 HT
75%Fair 1.33
Over 2.5 FT
60%Fair 1.67
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 1228 Nov · 15:00 UTC
LeedsVSCoventry
Leeds
62%
Fair 1.62
Draw
24%
Fair 4.12
Coventry
14%
Fair 7.12
xG 1.63 – 0.63
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
37%Fair 2.7
Round 1228 Nov · 17:30 UTC
IpswichVSAston Villa
Ipswich
43%
Fair 2.35
Draw
27%
Fair 3.74
Aston Villa
31%
Fair 3.26
xG 1.38 – 1.13
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
50%Fair 2
Round 1229 Nov · 12:00 UTC
EvertonVSLiverpool
Everton
27%
Fair 3.66
Draw
27%
Fair 3.67
Liverpool
45%
Fair 2.2
xG 1 – 1.38
Over 0.5 HT
65%Fair 1.54
Over 2.5 FT
42%Fair 2.38
BTTS
47%Fair 2.13
Round 1229 Nov · 14:05 UTC
FulhamVSBournemouth
Fulham
42%
Fair 2.4
Draw
22%
Fair 4.58
Bournemouth
37%
Fair 2.73
xG 1.88 – 1.75
Over 0.5 HT
80%Fair 1.25
Over 2.5 FT
70%Fair 1.43
BTTS
70%Fair 1.43
Round 1229 Nov · 14:05 UTC
SunderlandVSTottenham
Sunderland
25%
Fair 4.07
Draw
36%
Fair 2.76
Tottenham
39%
Fair 2.55
xG 0.63 – 0.88
Over 0.5 HT
49%Fair 2.04
Over 2.5 FT
19%Fair 5.26
BTTS
27%Fair 3.7
Round 1229 Nov · 14:05 UTC
BrightonVSNewcastle
Brighton
75%
Fair 1.34
Draw
15%
Fair 6.61
Newcastle
10%
Fair 9.85
xG 2.63 – 0.88
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
54%Fair 1.85
Round 1229 Nov · 14:05 UTC
Crystal PalaceVSHull City
Crystal Palace
30%
Fair 3.3
Draw
23%
Fair 4.29
Hull City
46%
Fair 2.16
xG 1.38 – 1.75
Over 0.5 HT
75%Fair 1.33
Over 2.5 FT
60%Fair 1.67
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 1229 Nov · 16:30 UTC
ArsenalVSManchester City
Arsenal
40%
Fair 2.48
Draw
25%
Fair 4.02
Manchester City
35%
Fair 2.88
xG 1.5 – 1.38
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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