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Ligue 1 2026/27: Season Preview

Paris Saint-Germain defend the title after a 76-point campaign, with Troyes and Le Mans promoted from Ligue 2 while Lens' Mamadou Sangare, the Marc-Vivien Foe Award winner, headlines a competitive chasing pack.

Kick-off
15 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
2.82
Over 2.5 (25/26)
48.6%
Season
2026/27
Ligue 1 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

PSG won the title with 76 points, 6 clear of Lens; Nantes and Metz were relegated to Ligue 2.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Paris Saint-Germain76+45
2Lens70+31
3Lille61+15
4Lyon60+13
5Marseille59+18
6Rennes59+9
7Monaco54+6
8Strasbourg53+11
9Toulouse45+1
10Lorient45-3
11Paris FC44-3
12Brest39-12
13Angers36-19
14Le Havre35-12
15Auxerre34-10
16Nice32-23
17Nantes24-23
18Metz17-44
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
306 matches played (2025/26)
2.82
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 48.6% of games
48.6%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 47 of 100 games
46.9%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
44.9%

Paris Saint-Germain scored 74 goals and conceded just 29 to win the title with 76 points, 6 clear of a resurgent Lens side inspired by midfielder Mamadou Sangare. Nantes and Metz finished 17th and 18th and were relegated to Ligue 2.

Nice went into the relegation play-off after finishing 16th, underlining how tight the bottom of the table was throughout the campaign.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

Troyes and Le Mans arrive from Ligue 2 as PSG's rivals reload for another title challenge.

Troyes return to Ligue 1 just three years after relegation as Ligue 2 champions, built on one of the division's strongest defensive records, while Le Mans are back in the top flight for the first time since 2009/10 under manager Patrick Videira.

Lens have added midfielder Michael Cuisance from Hertha Berlin on a four-year deal, while Lille signed Turkish winger Basar Onal from NEC Nijmegen after a nine-goal, nine-assist campaign in the Eredivisie, as both clubs push to close the gap on PSG.

How to read predictions
1X2 — home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HT — at least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT — 3 or more total goalsBTTS — both teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 1006 November 2026

Round 1006 Nov · 19:45 UTC
ToulouseVSStrasbourg
Toulouse
44%
Fair 2.29
Draw
24%
Fair 4.23
Strasbourg
33%
Fair 3.05
xG 1.68 – 1.43
Over 0.5 HT
75%Fair 1.33
Over 2.5 FT
60%Fair 1.67
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 1007 Nov · 16:15 UTC
AuxerreVSParis FC
Auxerre
39%
Fair 2.55
Draw
28%
Fair 3.6
Paris FC
33%
Fair 3.02
xG 1.25 – 1.13
Over 0.5 HT
65%Fair 1.54
Over 2.5 FT
42%Fair 2.38
BTTS
48%Fair 2.08
Round 1007 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Paris Saint GermainVSEstac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
58%
Fair 1.72
Draw
25%
Fair 4.07
Estac Troyes
17%
Fair 5.85
xG 1.63 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
65%Fair 1.54
Over 2.5 FT
42%Fair 2.38
BTTS
42%Fair 2.38
Round 1008 Nov · 14:00 UTC
RennesVSLille
Rennes
50%
Fair 1.99
Draw
24%
Fair 4.13
Lille
26%
Fair 3.91
xG 1.68 – 1.13
Over 0.5 HT
71%Fair 1.41
Over 2.5 FT
53%Fair 1.89
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82
Round 1008 Nov · 16:15 UTC
Le MansVSMonaco
Le Mans
34%
Fair 2.93
Draw
25%
Fair 4.01
Monaco
41%
Fair 2.45
xG 1.35 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
71%Fair 1.41
Over 2.5 FT
54%Fair 1.85
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72
Round 1008 Nov · 16:15 UTC
AngersVSNice
Angers
39%
Fair 2.55
Draw
26%
Fair 3.84
Nice
35%
Fair 2.89
xG 1.38 – 1.27
Over 0.5 HT
69%Fair 1.45
Over 2.5 FT
49%Fair 2.04
BTTS
54%Fair 1.85
Round 1008 Nov · 16:15 UTC
Stade Brestois 29VSLyon
Stade Brestois 29
46%
Fair 2.18
Draw
26%
Fair 3.89
Lyon
28%
Fair 3.51
xG 1.5 – 1.13
Over 0.5 HT
69%Fair 1.45
Over 2.5 FT
49%Fair 2.04
BTTS
52%Fair 1.92
Round 1008 Nov · 16:15 UTC
Le HavreVSLorient
Le Havre
15%
Fair 6.61
Draw
28%
Fair 3.53
Lorient
57%
Fair 1.77
xG 0.55 – 1.35
Over 0.5 HT
57%Fair 1.75
Over 2.5 FT
30%Fair 3.33
BTTS
31%Fair 3.23
Round 1008 Nov · 19:45 UTC
LensVSMarseille
Lens
44%
Fair 2.28
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Marseille
33%
Fair 3.01
xG 1.75 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56

Round 1120 November 2026

Round 1120 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Estac TroyesVSLe Havre
Estac Troyes
34%
Fair 2.92
Draw
22%
Fair 4.5
Le Havre
44%
Fair 2.3
xG 1.63 – 1.85
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
67%Fair 1.49
BTTS
68%Fair 1.47
Round 1121 Nov · 16:15 UTC
NiceVSParis Saint Germain
Nice
35%
Fair 2.85
Draw
23%
Fair 4.38
Paris Saint Germain
42%
Fair 2.38
xG 1.58 – 1.75
Over 0.5 HT
77%Fair 1.3
Over 2.5 FT
65%Fair 1.54
BTTS
66%Fair 1.52
Round 1121 Nov · 19:45 UTC
MonacoVSAuxerre
Monaco
67%
Fair 1.5
Draw
17%
Fair 5.94
Auxerre
17%
Fair 6.04
xG 2.67 – 1.3
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
76%Fair 1.32
BTTS
68%Fair 1.47
Round 1121 Nov · 19:45 UTC
StrasbourgVSStade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
42%
Fair 2.37
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Stade Brestois 29
35%
Fair 2.87
xG 1.73 – 1.55
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
64%Fair 1.56
BTTS
65%Fair 1.54
Round 1121 Nov · 19:45 UTC
LilleVSLyon
Lille
49%
Fair 2.05
Draw
31%
Fair 3.28
Lyon
21%
Fair 4.8
xG 1.2 – 0.68
Over 0.5 HT
56%Fair 1.79
Over 2.5 FT
29%Fair 3.45
BTTS
34%Fair 2.94
Round 1121 Nov · 19:45 UTC
LensVSToulouse
Lens
47%
Fair 2.12
Draw
22%
Fair 4.54
Toulouse
31%
Fair 3.25
xG 1.93 – 1.52
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
67%Fair 1.49
BTTS
67%Fair 1.49
Round 1122 Nov · 14:00 UTC
Paris FCVSAngers
Paris FC
65%
Fair 1.55
Draw
19%
Fair 5.16
Angers
16%
Fair 6.24
xG 2.2 – 1
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
62%Fair 1.61
BTTS
56%Fair 1.79
Round 1122 Nov · 16:15 UTC
LorientVSRennes
Lorient
55%
Fair 1.82
Draw
20%
Fair 4.98
Rennes
25%
Fair 4.03
xG 2.25 – 1.48
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
72%Fair 1.39
BTTS
69%Fair 1.45
Round 1122 Nov · 19:45 UTC
MarseilleVSLe Mans
Marseille
60%
Fair 1.67
Draw
19%
Fair 5.14
Le Mans
21%
Fair 4.83
xG 2.3 – 1.3
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
70%Fair 1.43
BTTS
65%Fair 1.54

Round 1227 November 2026

Round 1227 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Stade Brestois 29VSParis FC
Stade Brestois 29
46%
Fair 2.17
Draw
24%
Fair 4.1
Paris FC
29%
Fair 3.4
xG 1.63 – 1.25
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
57%Fair 1.75
Round 1228 Nov · 16:15 UTC
AngersVSLens
Angers
31%
Fair 3.22
Draw
24%
Fair 4.09
Lens
44%
Fair 2.25
xG 1.3 – 1.6
Over 0.5 HT
72%Fair 1.39
Over 2.5 FT
55%Fair 1.82
BTTS
58%Fair 1.72
Round 1228 Nov · 19:45 UTC
NiceVSEstac Troyes
Nice
58%
Fair 1.72
Draw
25%
Fair 4.07
Estac Troyes
17%
Fair 5.85
xG 1.63 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
65%Fair 1.54
Over 2.5 FT
42%Fair 2.38
BTTS
42%Fair 2.38
Round 1228 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Le MansVSLille
Le Mans
26%
Fair 3.79
Draw
25%
Fair 4.06
Lille
49%
Fair 2.04
xG 1.13 – 1.63
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
54%Fair 1.85
Round 1228 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Paris Saint GermainVSLorient
Paris Saint Germain
48%
Fair 2.08
Draw
30%
Fair 3.39
Lorient
22%
Fair 4.48
xG 1.25 – 0.75
Over 0.5 HT
59%Fair 1.69
Over 2.5 FT
32%Fair 3.13
BTTS
38%Fair 2.63
Round 1228 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Le HavreVSStrasbourg
Le Havre
33%
Fair 3.04
Draw
22%
Fair 4.54
Strasbourg
45%
Fair 2.22
xG 1.6 – 1.9
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
68%Fair 1.47
Round 1229 Nov · 14:00 UTC
AuxerreVSMarseille
Auxerre
32%
Fair 3.16
Draw
25%
Fair 3.95
Marseille
43%
Fair 2.32
xG 1.25 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82
Round 1229 Nov · 16:15 UTC
ToulouseVSRennes
Toulouse
52%
Fair 1.92
Draw
21%
Fair 4.79
Rennes
27%
Fair 3.69
xG 2.13 – 1.5
Over 0.5 HT
80%Fair 1.25
Over 2.5 FT
70%Fair 1.43
BTTS
68%Fair 1.47
Round 1229 Nov · 19:45 UTC
LyonVSMonaco
Lyon
61%
Fair 1.64
Draw
23%
Fair 4.42
Monaco
16%
Fair 6.17
xG 1.8 – 0.8
Over 0.5 HT
68%Fair 1.47
Over 2.5 FT
48%Fair 2.08
BTTS
46%Fair 2.17

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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