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Ligue 1 2026/27: Season Preview

Paris Saint-Germain defend the title after a 76-point campaign, with Troyes and Le Mans promoted from Ligue 2 while Lens' Mamadou Sangare, the Marc-Vivien Foe Award winner, headlines a competitive chasing pack.

Kick-off
15 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
2.82
Over 2.5 (25/26)
48.6%
Season
2026/27
Ligue 1 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

PSG won the title with 76 points, 6 clear of Lens; Nantes and Metz were relegated to Ligue 2.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Paris Saint-Germain76+45
2Lens70+31
3Lille61+15
4Lyon60+13
5Marseille59+18
6Rennes59+9
7Monaco54+6
8Strasbourg53+11
9Toulouse45+1
10Lorient45-3
11Paris FC44-3
12Brest39-12
13Angers36-19
14Le Havre35-12
15Auxerre34-10
16Nice32-23
17Nantes24-23
18Metz17-44
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
306 matches played (2025/26)
2.82
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 48.6% of games
48.6%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 47 of 100 games
46.9%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
44.9%

Paris Saint-Germain scored 74 goals and conceded just 29 to win the title with 76 points, 6 clear of a resurgent Lens side inspired by midfielder Mamadou Sangare. Nantes and Metz finished 17th and 18th and were relegated to Ligue 2.

Nice went into the relegation play-off after finishing 16th, underlining how tight the bottom of the table was throughout the campaign.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

Troyes and Le Mans arrive from Ligue 2 as PSG's rivals reload for another title challenge.

Troyes return to Ligue 1 just three years after relegation as Ligue 2 champions, built on one of the division's strongest defensive records, while Le Mans are back in the top flight for the first time since 2009/10 under manager Patrick Videira.

Lens have added midfielder Michael Cuisance from Hertha Berlin on a four-year deal, while Lille signed Turkish winger Basar Onal from NEC Nijmegen after a nine-goal, nine-assist campaign in the Eredivisie, as both clubs push to close the gap on PSG.

How to read predictions
1X2home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HTat least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT3 or more total goalsBTTSboth teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 520 September 2026

Round 520 Sept · 13:00 UTC
AuxerreVSStade Brestois 29
Auxerre
27%
Fair 3.65
Draw
23%
Fair 4.26
Stade Brestois 29
49%
Fair 2.03
xG 1.251.75
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 520 Sept · 15:15 UTC
NiceVSLille
Nice
9%
Fair 10.93
Draw
36%
Fair 2.76
Lille
55%
Fair 1.83
xG 0.251
Over 0.5 HT
42%Fair 2.38
Over 2.5 FT
13%Fair 7.69
BTTS
14%Fair 7.14
Round 520 Sept · 18:45 UTC
MarseilleVSParis Saint Germain
Marseille
51%
Fair 1.96
Draw
21%
Fair 4.85
Paris Saint Germain
28%
Fair 3.54
xG 2.171.58
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
72%Fair 1.39
BTTS
70%Fair 1.43

Round 609 October 2026

Round 609 Oct · 18:45 UTC
LensVSLyon
Lens
36%
Fair 2.74
Draw
27%
Fair 3.7
Lyon
36%
Fair 2.74
xG 1.251.25
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
51%Fair 1.96
Round 610 Oct · 15:15 UTC
LilleVSLe Havre
Lille
55%
Fair 1.83
Draw
22%
Fair 4.63
Le Havre
24%
Fair 4.23
xG 21.25
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 610 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Stade Brestois 29VSAngers
Stade Brestois 29
19%
Fair 5.35
Draw
26%
Fair 3.82
Angers
55%
Fair 1.81
xG 0.751.5
Over 0.5 HT
63%Fair 1.59
Over 2.5 FT
39%Fair 2.56
BTTS
41%Fair 2.44
Round 610 Oct · 18:45 UTC
MonacoVSToulouse
Monaco
55%
Fair 1.83
Draw
22%
Fair 4.63
Toulouse
24%
Fair 4.23
xG 21.25
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
62%Fair 1.61
Round 610 Oct · 18:45 UTC
LorientVSParis FC
Lorient
27%
Fair 3.65
Draw
23%
Fair 4.26
Paris FC
49%
Fair 2.03
xG 1.251.75
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 610 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Paris Saint GermainVSLe Mans
Paris Saint Germain
33%
Fair 3.01
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Le Mans
44%
Fair 2.28
xG 1.51.75
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 611 Oct · 13:00 UTC
NiceVSStrasbourg
Nice
42%
Fair 2.41
Draw
24%
Fair 4.13
Strasbourg
34%
Fair 2.92
xG 1.581.42
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
60%Fair 1.67
Round 611 Oct · 15:15 UTC
RennesVSAuxerre
Rennes
69%
Fair 1.44
Draw
15%
Fair 6.58
Auxerre
15%
Fair 6.52
xG 31.42
Over 0.5 HT
86%Fair 1.16
Over 2.5 FT
82%Fair 1.22
BTTS
72%Fair 1.39
Round 611 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Estac TroyesVSMarseille
Estac Troyes
32%
Fair 3.16
Draw
25%
Fair 3.95
Marseille
43%
Fair 2.32
xG 1.251.5
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
55%Fair 1.82

Round 716 October 2026

Round 716 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Le MansVSToulouse
Le Mans
43%
Fair 2.34
Draw
21%
Fair 4.73
Toulouse
36%
Fair 2.77
xG 21.83
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
74%Fair 1.35
BTTS
73%Fair 1.37
Round 717 Oct · 15:15 UTC
StrasbourgVSParis Saint Germain
Strasbourg
39%
Fair 2.55
Draw
26%
Fair 3.92
Paris Saint Germain
35%
Fair 2.83
xG 1.421.33
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
56%Fair 1.79
Round 717 Oct · 18:45 UTC
LilleVSStade Brestois 29
Lille
44%
Fair 2.28
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Stade Brestois 29
33%
Fair 3.01
xG 1.751.5
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 717 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Estac TroyesVSLens
Estac Troyes
27%
Fair 3.77
Draw
21%
Fair 4.85
Lens
53%
Fair 1.89
xG 1.52.17
Over 0.5 HT
80%Fair 1.25
Over 2.5 FT
71%Fair 1.41
BTTS
69%Fair 1.45
Round 718 Oct · 13:00 UTC
AngersVSMarseille
Angers
50%
Fair 1.98
Draw
30%
Fair 3.36
Marseille
20%
Fair 5.04
xG 1.250.67
Over 0.5 HT
57%Fair 1.75
Over 2.5 FT
30%Fair 3.33
BTTS
35%Fair 2.86
Round 718 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Paris FCVSRennes
Paris FC
70%
Fair 1.42
Draw
19%
Fair 5.3
Rennes
11%
Fair 9.33
xG 2.080.67
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
43%Fair 2.33
Round 718 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Le HavreVSAuxerre
Le Havre
58%
Fair 1.72
Draw
20%
Fair 4.92
Auxerre
21%
Fair 4.68
xG 2.171.25
Over 0.5 HT
78%Fair 1.28
Over 2.5 FT
66%Fair 1.52
BTTS
63%Fair 1.59
Round 718 Oct · 15:15 UTC
LorientVSMonaco
Lorient
25%
Fair 4.05
Draw
24%
Fair 4.11
Monaco
51%
Fair 1.96
xG 1.081.67
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
54%Fair 1.85
Round 718 Oct · 18:45 UTC
LyonVSNice
Lyon
83%
Fair 1.21
Draw
14%
Fair 7.41
Nice
4%
Fair 25.68
xG 2.330.33
Over 0.5 HT
69%Fair 1.45
Over 2.5 FT
50%Fair 2
BTTS
26%Fair 3.85

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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