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Bundesliga 2026/27: Season Preview

Bayern Munich return as champions after a staggering 122-goal, 89-point season, with Schalke 04, SV Elversberg and SC Paderborn joining the top flight after promotion from 2. Bundesliga.

Kick-off
28 Aug 2026
Goals / Game (25/26)
3.24
Over 2.5 (25/26)
58.6%
Season
2026/27
Bundesliga 2026/27 Season Preview
2025/26 Final Table

How did last season finish?

Bayern Munich won the title with 89 points and a +86 goal difference; Wolfsburg, Heidenheim and St. Pauli were relegated.

Final Standings 2025/26

PosClubPtsGD
1Bayern Munich89+86
2Borussia Dortmund73+36
3RB Leipzig65+19
4VfB Stuttgart62+22
5TSG Hoffenheim61+13
6Bayer Leverkusen59+21
7SC Freiburg47-6
8Eintracht Frankfurt44-4
9FC Augsburg43-16
10Mainz 0540-9
11Union Berlin39-14
12Borussia Monchengladbach38-11
13Hamburger SV38-14
141. FC Koln32-14
15Werder Bremen32-23
16VfL Wolfsburg29-24
171. FC Heidenheim26-31
18FC St. Pauli26-31
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegated

2025/26 Season Statistics

Avg Goals / Game
306 matches played (2025/26)
3.24
Over 2.5 Goals
3+ goals in 58.6% of games
58.6%
Both Teams Score
BTTS in 57 of 100 games
56.9%
Home Win Rate
Based on 2025/26 home/away splits
41.3%

Bayern Munich lost just once all season, scoring 122 goals — a remarkable tally — to finish 16 points clear of Borussia Dortmund. VfL Wolfsburg, 1. FC Heidenheim and FC St. Pauli were relegated to 2. Bundesliga.

Schalke 04 return to the top flight immediately as 2. Bundesliga champions, joined by SV Elversberg (first-ever Bundesliga promotion for the club) and play-off winners SC Paderborn.

2026/27 Preview

What to expect in 2026/27?

Bayern reload again while the promoted clubs prepare for an immediate step up in class.

Bayern Munich have added Nathaniel Brown from Eintracht Frankfurt and Ismael Saibari from PSV Eindhoven for around €50m each, while Manuel Neuer extended his contract for another year with Jonas Urbig set for more minutes. The champions open the campaign against Borussia Dortmund in the DFL-Supercup on 22 August.

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig will look to close the gap after finishing 2nd and 3rd respectively, while newly promoted Schalke 04, SV Elversberg and SC Paderborn aim to avoid an immediate return to the second tier.

How to read predictions
1X2home / draw / away win probabilityOver 0.5 HTat least 1 goal in first halfOver 2.5 FT3 or more total goalsBTTSboth teams score

Predictions derived from home/away goal averages via a Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 / probability, no margin.

Round 420 September 2026

Round 420 Sept · 13:30 UTC
Bayer LeverkusenVSRB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
91%
Fair 1.1
Draw
7%
Fair 14.78
RB Leipzig
2%
Fair 40.7
xG 3.50.5
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
76%Fair 1.32
BTTS
38%Fair 2.63
Round 420 Sept · 15:30 UTC
FC Schalke 04VSSV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
29%
Fair 3.45
Draw
22%
Fair 4.63
SV Elversberg
49%
Fair 2.03
xG 1.52
Over 0.5 HT
79%Fair 1.27
Over 2.5 FT
68%Fair 1.47
BTTS
67%Fair 1.49
Round 420 Sept · 17:30 UTC
SC Paderborn 07VS1899 Hoffenheim
SC Paderborn 07
38%
Fair 2.64
Draw
24%
Fair 4.12
1899 Hoffenheim
38%
Fair 2.64
xG 1.51.5
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
60%Fair 1.67

Round 509 October 2026

Round 509 Oct · 18:30 UTC
Borussia DortmundVSWerder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
81%
Fair 1.23
Draw
13%
Fair 7.44
Werder Bremen
5%
Fair 18.21
xG 2.50.5
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
36%Fair 2.78
Round 510 Oct · 13:30 UTC
FSV Mainz 05VSBayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
33%
Fair 3.01
Draw
23%
Fair 4.34
Bayer Leverkusen
44%
Fair 2.28
xG 1.51.75
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
64%Fair 1.56
Round 510 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Union BerlinVSSV Elversberg
Union Berlin
27%
Fair 3.73
Draw
15%
Fair 6.45
SV Elversberg
58%
Fair 1.73
xG 2.53.5
Over 0.5 HT
93%Fair 1.08
Over 2.5 FT
94%Fair 1.06
BTTS
89%Fair 1.12
Round 510 Oct · 13:30 UTC
1899 HoffenheimVSHamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
74%
Fair 1.35
Draw
15%
Fair 6.71
Hamburger SV
11%
Fair 9
xG 2.751
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
72%Fair 1.39
BTTS
59%Fair 1.69
Round 510 Oct · 13:30 UTC
SC Paderborn 07VSVfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07
55%
Fair 1.82
Draw
24%
Fair 4.25
VfB Stuttgart
21%
Fair 4.66
xG 1.751
Over 0.5 HT
70%Fair 1.43
Over 2.5 FT
52%Fair 1.92
BTTS
52%Fair 1.92
Round 510 Oct · 13:30 UTC
FC AugsburgVSBayern München
FC Augsburg
49%
Fair 2.05
Draw
26%
Fair 3.85
Bayern München
25%
Fair 3.96
xG 1.51
Over 0.5 HT
67%Fair 1.49
Over 2.5 FT
46%Fair 2.17
BTTS
49%Fair 2.04
Round 510 Oct · 16:30 UTC
RB LeipzigVSEintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
68%
Fair 1.47
Draw
16%
Fair 6.45
Eintracht Frankfurt
17%
Fair 6.02
xG 31.5
Over 0.5 HT
86%Fair 1.16
Over 2.5 FT
83%Fair 1.2
BTTS
74%Fair 1.35
Round 511 Oct · 13:30 UTC
1. FC KölnVSBorussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
82%
Fair 1.22
Draw
11%
Fair 8.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6%
Fair 15.84
xG 30.75
Over 0.5 HT
81%Fair 1.23
Over 2.5 FT
72%Fair 1.39
BTTS
50%Fair 2
Round 511 Oct · 15:30 UTC
SC FreiburgVSFC Schalke 04
SC Freiburg
81%
Fair 1.24
Draw
12%
Fair 8.67
FC Schalke 04
8%
Fair 12.6
xG 3.251
Over 0.5 HT
85%Fair 1.18
Over 2.5 FT
80%Fair 1.25
BTTS
61%Fair 1.64

Round 616 October 2026

Round 616 Oct · 18:30 UTC
Eintracht FrankfurtVS1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
45%
Fair 2.24
Draw
20%
Fair 5.02
1. FC Köln
35%
Fair 2.83
xG 2.252
Over 0.5 HT
85%Fair 1.18
Over 2.5 FT
80%Fair 1.25
BTTS
77%Fair 1.3
Round 617 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Werder BremenVSSC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
71%
Fair 1.4
Draw
18%
Fair 5.66
SC Paderborn 07
11%
Fair 9.16
xG 2.250.75
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
47%Fair 2.13
Round 617 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Union BerlinVSBorussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
22%
Fair 4.54
Draw
19%
Fair 5.39
Borussia Dortmund
59%
Fair 1.68
xG 1.52.5
Over 0.5 HT
83%Fair 1.2
Over 2.5 FT
76%Fair 1.32
BTTS
71%Fair 1.41
Round 617 Oct · 13:30 UTC
SV ElversbergVSFC Augsburg
SV Elversberg
31%
Fair 3.18
Draw
19%
Fair 5.28
FC Augsburg
50%
Fair 2.02
xG 22.5
Over 0.5 HT
86%Fair 1.16
Over 2.5 FT
83%Fair 1.2
BTTS
79%Fair 1.27
Round 617 Oct · 13:30 UTC
FC Schalke 04VSFSV Mainz 05
FC Schalke 04
11%
Fair 9.16
Draw
18%
Fair 5.66
FSV Mainz 05
71%
Fair 1.4
xG 0.752.25
Over 0.5 HT
73%Fair 1.37
Over 2.5 FT
58%Fair 1.72
BTTS
47%Fair 2.13
Round 617 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Hamburger SVVSVfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
45%
Fair 2.24
Draw
20%
Fair 5.02
VfB Stuttgart
35%
Fair 2.83
xG 2.252
Over 0.5 HT
85%Fair 1.18
Over 2.5 FT
80%Fair 1.25
BTTS
77%Fair 1.3
Round 617 Oct · 16:30 UTC
Bayern MünchenVSRB Leipzig
Bayern München
93%
Fair 1.07
Draw
5%
Fair 21.91
RB Leipzig
2%
Fair 47.85
xG 4.50.75
Over 0.5 HT
90%Fair 1.11
Over 2.5 FT
89%Fair 1.12
BTTS
52%Fair 1.92
Round 618 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Bayer LeverkusenVSSC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
76%
Fair 1.32
Draw
15%
Fair 6.51
SC Freiburg
9%
Fair 10.99
xG 2.50.75
Over 0.5 HT
76%Fair 1.32
Over 2.5 FT
63%Fair 1.59
BTTS
48%Fair 2.08
Round 618 Oct · 15:30 UTC
Borussia MönchengladbachVS1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
42%
Fair 2.4
Draw
17%
Fair 5.99
1899 Hoffenheim
42%
Fair 2.4
xG 33
Over 0.5 HT
93%Fair 1.08
Over 2.5 FT
94%Fair 1.06
BTTS
90%Fair 1.11

Predictions will be computed using the Poisson model from home/away goal averages once the 2026/27 season kicks off. For illustration only — not financial advice.

How predictions work

MatchPulse uses a Poisson-based model that converts each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding averages into an expected goals (xG) projection for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Once the 2026/27 season begins, this page updates automatically round by round with live standings and predictions.

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